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Hormuz shock: What a USD 100 oil scenario means for India

Business DeskLast Updated: 02 March 2026, 02:21 PM ISTShare Energy policy experts projected a short-lived period of volatility for the oil market, while predicting the crude oil price to increase to around 80 dollars per barrel during the period. Representational image Oil prices could surge past USD 100 per barrel if tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz is not restored quickly, with the chokepoint’s closure threatening roughly 15 per cent of global oil supply and 20 per cent of LNG flows, consultancy Wood Mackenzie has warned. The disruption follows US and Israeli strikes on Iranian government, military and nuclear facilities, after which Tehran cautioned shipping against entering the waterway.

Hormuz shock: What a USD 100 oil scenario means for India

Credit: Mathrubhumi

Key Highlights

  • Insurers have withdrawn cover, effectively halting tanker movements.
  • Also read | Crude oil prices jump over 7% as Israel–Iran war tensions shake global markets Dual supply shock hits global oil market Wood Mackenzie said the shutdown creates a “dual supply shock”, as current exports through the strait are suspended while additional OPEC+ volumes and most spare capacity, typically used to stabilise the market, remain inaccessible.
  • Oil prices have already reacted sharply.
  • Brent crude climbed more than 8 per cent to USD 78.72 a barrel, while US-traded crude rose about 7.6 per cent to USD 72.20, after at least three vessels were attacked near the strait.
  • “The key question is when vessels re-establish export flows,” said Alan Gelder, senior vice president of refining, chemicals and oil markets at Wood Mackenzie.
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Sources

  1. Hormuz shock: What a USD 100 oil scenario means for India

This quick summary is automatically generated using AI based on reports from multiple news sources. The content has not been reviewed or verified by humans. For complete details, accuracy, and context, please refer to the original published articles.

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