Key Highlights
- While the veteran right-hander has been effective in the past, injuries and declining skills culminated in a 6.70 ERA and a career-worst 14% strikeout rate in 2025. Even with San Francisco Giants ace Logan Webb toeing the opposite rubber to start, he's historically pitched more to contact, which can lead to some crooked numbers here and there. AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementNeither will have a long leash, but both could surrender a couple of runs, leaving our Over prediction in good shape when the bullpens take over. Pick #2: Mariners moneylineWith pitch counts still limited, you can't put too much stock into a starting pitcher mismatch.
- However, Logan Gilbert gives the Seattle Mariners enough of an edge over Texas Rangers lefty Jacob Latz that I will happily take the nearly coin-flip odds. At his best, Gilbert is a borderline ace.
- He has a career 3.58 ERA and has been mostly durable.
- He pitched a pair of scoreless innings in his spring debut, and we can expect more of the same today en route to a Seattle victory. AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementAnd it's not that Latz is bad, but he's a career reliever who has a propensity for walks. Pick #3: Reds vs A's - Under 11.5The Cincinnati Reds and the Athletics are trotting out secondary lineups, and while some key sluggers will be present early (Nick Kurtz, for example), starting pitchers Andrew Abbott and J. T.
- Ginn can navigate trouble in the early going. That will leave things up to relatively shaky bullpens, making this perhaps a bit of a sweat, but even though we'll see our share of laughers in early March, 11.5 is still a high total, and this one measures up to come in just below that number. AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisement Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website.
