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Economy

New GDP series makes meeting fiscal targets, $4-trillion economy aim more difficult

The Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation’s (MoSPI) revamp of the GDP data has thrown up several interesting changes from what we previously thought of the Indian economy, chief among them being that growth in 2023-24 is now not as high as estimated earlier (9.2% in the old series, 7.2% in the new). However, growth is only the year-on-year change in the GDP in rupee terms – so, that is where one must look to understand the consequences of the new GDP series. And the Indian economy is somewhat smaller than what the statistics ministry had previously calculated.

A reduction in the nominal GDP under the new series does not help India's quest to become a $4 trillion economy. (Rohit Jain Paras)

A reduction in the nominal GDP under the new series does not help India's quest to become a $4 trillion economy. (Rohit Jain Paras)

Credit: Indianexpress

Key Highlights

  • The new series with 2022-23 as the base year for prices has led to a reduction in the GDP in nominal terms by 3-4% in 2025-26, as well as in the previous three years.
  • This is because of changes in the sources of data used to compile the GDP, as well as the methods.
  • “Larger impacts normally are seen when there is a substantial change in the databases.
  • As databases keep improving, the changes – whether positive or negative – tend to reduce, which is what you can see over the past few revisions, even in India, that the changes have been in the region of 2-3-4%, less than that,” MoSPI Secretary Saurabh Garg said at a briefing on Friday.
  • Globally, revisions have changed GDPs by a far greater magnitude.
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Sources

  1. New GDP series makes meeting fiscal targets, $4-trillion economy aim more difficult

This quick summary is automatically generated using AI based on reports from multiple news sources. The content has not been reviewed or verified by humans. For complete details, accuracy, and context, please refer to the original published articles.

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