Key Highlights
- Call 1-800-GAMBLERPatriots vs BroncosRhamondre Stevenson (+115 at DraftKings)Even after missing time with an eye injury, Rhamondre Stevenson logged 16 carries — his most since Week 8. AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementThe New England Patriots' running back handled 80% of the team’s second-half rushing attempts while playing 87% of the snaps. This is Stevenson’s backfield, and a road-favorite game script against a backup quarterback points to a heavy workload.
- Drake Maye’s ball-security concerns could funnel even more touches his way. Patriots vs BroncosEvan Engram (+500 at DraftKings) With questions lingering in both the backfield and at receiver for the Denver Broncos, I’ll roll the dice on tight end Evan Engram. With Pat Bryant, J. K.
- Dobbins, and Troy Franklin all uncertain, a fresh QB–TE connection makes sense at +500.
- Lower aDOT targets carry more value here, and Engram’s 4.5 aDOT positions him as a natural checkdown for Jarrett Stidham. AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementThis is a half-unit play for me. Covers TD BingoRams vs SeahawksColby Parkinson (+330 at DraftKings)The Los Angeles Rams leaned into 11 personnel at a 90% rate last week, yet Colby Parkinson still dominated the tight end usage. Parkinson ran the bulk of the routes and finished with as many targets as the rest of the TE room combined, while Tyler Higbee played just 10% of the snaps. Since Higbee returned, Parkinson has clearly emerged as TE1, drawing 17 targets over the last three games and scoring three touchdowns in that span. Even in a WR-heavy setup, the role and red-zone usage are firmly in Parkinson’s favor. More NFL Conference Championship touchdown predictionsNFL TD Props: The best touchdown scorer bets for the Conference ChampionshipsConference Championship anytime touchdown parlayDraftKings LogoCourtland SuttonStefon DiggsJaxon-Smith NjigbaAdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisement+2300 at DraftKingsLet’s target three of the best +EV touchdown plays on the board based on THE BLITZ projections.
- At the time of writing, only six players at DraftKings are priced as +EV, and these three stand out. Courtland Sutton remains a true WR1 and is being discounted due to the quarterback downgrade. Stefon Diggs led his team in targets last week and doesn’t need consistent red-zone usage to find the end zone. Jaxon Smith-Njigba grading out as +EV at a +100 TD price speaks volumes about his role and efficiency. Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website.