Story by1 / 1NFL Predictions: 3 Plus Money Bets to Target for Week 141 / 1NFL Predictions: 3 Plus Money Bets to Target for Week 14Josh InglisFri, December 5, 2025 at 1:52 AM UTC·3 min readWeek 14 brings one of the strongest plus-money boards of the season, headlined by a quarterback in a prime spot to throw just two plus-money touchdowns, another passer playing with his back against the wall who’s live for three, and a slept-on wideout poised for double-digit targets again. With soft defensive matchups, clear usage trends, and market numbers that haven’t fully adjusted, it’s an ideal week to attack mispriced ceilings and hunt value in our NFL picks. AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementNFL Week 14 Predictions: Best plus money betsPlayerPickPatrick MahomesOver 1.5 passing TDs<<+114>>Bo Nix3+ passing TDs<<+390>>Adonai Mitchell7+ receptions<<+630>>MORE NFL FREE PICKSPatrick Mahomes Over 1.5 passing touchdowns+114 at FanDuelThe Houston Texans' defense is certainly baked into this number, but the Kansas City Chiefs are still a healthy, pass-first offense that can’t afford any more flat spots. Patrick Mahomes has historically been one of the NFL’s best late-season quarterbacks, going 29-7 straight up in December and January regular-season games. At home this year, he’s thrown 14 touchdowns to four interceptions across six games at Arrowhead, and projections have him at 1.61 TDs versus the 1.5 implied at this price. AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementI’d love to get cute and chase J. J. McCarthy at a longer number, but I’d much rather back Mahomes at +114 than McCarthy at +154.