Operational recovery will drive Australia’s copper production growth in 2026

Key Highlights

• In 2026, copper output is projected to recover as operating conditions normalise and major mines return to steady-state production.
• Cadia and Boddington are expected to resume regular output following the completion of development and maintenance activities while the Whim Creek project is scheduled to commence operations in late 2026, providing incremental support to national supply.
• The recovery will also be underpinned by improving operational efficiency across existing assets, as capital programmes implemented during 2024–2025 begin to deliver productivity gains.
• Beyond 2026, Australia’s copper production outlook remains positive, supported by a robust pipeline of brownfield expansions and greenfield developments.
• Through to 2035, output growth will be driven by projects backed by significant capital commitments from major producers, including BHP, with expansions at the Olympic Dam and other mines supporting sustained medium- to long-term supply growth.