Red Sox Get Alarming Power Projection For 2026 Lineup

Key Highlights

• According to FanGraphs’ ZiPS projections, the Red Sox are the only team in baseball without a single hitter projected to hit at least 20 home runs this year. That said, six Boston hitters are projected for at least 17 homers, so several of the team’s sluggers are at least in striking distance.
• A few will likely surpass expectations and top 20 homers, although there’s a real chance nobody swats 30 or even 25. AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementLooking at the Red Sox lineup, nobody feels like an absolute lock for 20 homers.
• Only three members reached that mark last year: Trevor Story (25), Wilyer Abreu (22) and Willson Contreras (20). Story and Contreras are both 33, so they’re at the point of the aging curve where power begins to drop off a bit.
• Story has also been injury-prone recently, so he may not play a full season again like he did last year. Abreu also missed time with injuries last year and wasn’t the same hitter after coming back.
• He’s also struggled against lefties throughout his career and has severe platoon splits, so he carries some question marks as well. Anthony has 20-homer pop if he stays healthy, but he’s never done it in the big leagues before.