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The Best Case, Worst Case, and Most Likely Scenarios For The 2025-26 Badgers

Story byScary AlvarezMon, December 8, 2025 at 8:38 PM UTC·3 min readLike most of you, I’ve been trying to get a read on this version of Greg Gard’s Wisconsin Badgers, and now that we’re approaching mid-December, I’m ready to make a few informed predictions about where this team may be headed. A few ground rules: This isn’t literal. When I say, ‘Best Case’ or ‘Worst Case,’ I don’t mean the statistical best/worst outcome, like the entire starting five tearing an ACL or getting on a magic heater and winning the NCAA title game over Duke by 30. I deal with what I call “the 80 percent in the middle” and remove the top 10 percent and the lowest 10 percent. AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementAre you still with me?

The Best Case, Worst Case, and Most Likely Scenarios For The 2025-26 Badgers

Credit: Yahoo

Key Highlights

  • I hope so, because here we go. Best CaseHere, the rotation gels really well, with players like Nick Boyd and John Blackwell settling into optimal roles, while secondary scoring settles in with consistency.
  • The team stays healthy, and the buy-in to a high-scoring system that still values solid defense improves from the first 1/3 of the campaign.
  • And, most games, their play away from home catches up to how they look at the Kohl Center. Finally, younger pieces like Austin Rapp and the surprising Aleksas Bieliauskas complement the team and continue to grow into their roles, even if that means Rapp coming off the bench. AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementThis squad has a top four in the Big Ten, a Sweet Sixteen kind of floor, and I wouldn’t be shocked to see them sneak into the Elite Eight after making a real run at a regular-season conference title. Worst CaseI take no joy in doing these scenarios, but it’s part of the job. In this unfortunate path, the squad deals with tough injuries, the scoring Alpha Dog thing becomes an issue, and the defense doesn’t reach the level it needs to in order to be a factor in an absolutely stacked Big Ten. While the Badgers still have enough to make it to the NCAA Tournament, the margin ends up small, and their stay is short, stoking the embers of the “Gard Can’t Win in March” fire. AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementHere, I see a 7th-10th place conference finish and a 10-seed in March Madness. Most Likely CaseThe good news is that this one looks more like the Best Case than it does the Worst Case.
  • The team has some ups and downs, but the various roles become better defined and embraced, while the defense looks more solid than it has been early in the season. While the scoring load falls a bit too heavily on Blackwell and Boyd from time to time, consistent, complementary production frequently fills in from guys like Nolan Winter and Andrew Rohde, and the team is rarely not competitive. They don’t have quite enough to make a serious run at Purdue, Michigan, and Michigan State for a Big Ten title, but they secure a lot of impressive wins against a daunting schedule. Gard’s boys finish between 3rd and 7th in the Big Ten and, at long last, reach the second weekend of March Madness, making the season a success.
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Sources

  1. The Best Case, Worst Case, and Most Likely Scenarios For The 2025-26 Badgers

This quick summary is automatically generated using AI based on reports from multiple news sources. The content has not been reviewed or verified by humans. For complete details, accuracy, and context, please refer to the original published articles.

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